A CLASSIC CASE OF CONFIRMATION BIAS
BILL SAUNDERS
The Origin of the Norfolk Broads - a classic case of Confirmation Bias
mallards
"It is a capital mistake to theorise before one has data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts."
"A Scandal in Bohemia." Conan Doyle
Clifford Smith interpreted small samples of evidence to demonstrate the "subsequent flooding" of "great peat pits" at the following specific locations:
Burntfen Broad (The "transition" evidence)
Turkey Broad ( " " " )
Barton Broad - southern half ( " " " )
Hoveton Little Broad (The Mystery of the Abbot's Boat)
Barton Broad - northern half (Dydays, Laggying etc.)
Access any of these sub-sections to review the evidence in detail. Visit or revisit Smith's interpretations as he charted a path which has become well worn by all those content to follow him without question.
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Copyright 2009 The Medieval Making of the Norfolk Broads. All rights reserved.
The Origin of the Norfolk Broads - a classic case of Confirmation Bias
mallards